NAIA Ramblings of Jason Dannelly from 11/18/2006: Thoughts on Potential Second Round Match Ups

The biggest question mark would appear to be who can fly into Helena, Montana the easiest? The airport with a team still playing would be Saint Xavier of Chicago. Bethel TN could potentially fly from Memphis, TN a flight their opponent is very familiar with. Next up would be Morningside and Northwestern flying from Sioux Falls, Sioux City, or Omaha.

But if you fly SXU to Helena you take several relatively short bus trips and make them longer. Bethel TN would probably have to travel the 513 miles to Fort Wayne, IN while Northwestern would likely travel 415 miles to Marshall. That would leave Morningside with a short trip to Sioux Falls which I feel is inevitable regardless of who is flown to Helena, MT. Essentially by flying SXU to Chicago there would be two 400 plus mile bus trips instead of one if SXU travels to Fort Wayne.

The order of importance for selecting match ups in the Championship Series goes:

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  • Geographic Location
  • Financial Considerations
  • Final Rating

Does Northwestern or Morningside fit the “Geographic Location” criteria? They would technically be the closest teams to Helena, MT. But both teams have to fly to Helena, MT.

So does it solely come to financial considerations? Or would the NAIA decide to spend a little more money than needed to send teams that would be considered better match ups (highest seeds vs. lowest seeds)?

 

Also consider the fact we are heading into Thanksgiving weekend.  Travel from many airports across the country will already be tougher than usual.

There are plenty of questions to be answered, but if my first prediction posted above does not come to fruition, I would put my best bet on the following pairings.

#8 Bethel TN @ #4 Carroll (Plane)
#13 Morningside @ #2 Sioux Falls (75 miles)
#6 Northwestern @ #5 Missouri Valley (423 miles)
#9 St. Xavier @ #1 St. Francis (170 miles)

or

#9 St. Xavier @ #4 Carroll (Plane)
#13 Morningside @ #2 Sioux Falls (75 miles)
#6 Northwestern @ #5 Missouri Valley (423 miles)
#8 Bethel TN @ #1 St. Francis (170 miles)

Remember these are not official pairing, just some random guesses from a guy who follows the stuff kind of closely. We’ll see you tomorrow at 8:30 AM CST!

NAIA Ramblings of Jason Dannelly from 10/21/2006: Attitudes, Message Boards, Coaches and Making it a Great Day.

I can safely say that I have met and talked with nearly every coach in the NAIA. Everyone of them brings a different personality to the table and have their own agendas that are fun to talk about.

There are 5-10 coaches I love to talk to about “the NAIA.” For one reason or another they are pretty well versed in the national thoughts on football as well as things happening within the organization. They might have an inside track because they are a rater or serve on a committee but in the end they are full of knowledge.

There are also 5-10 coaches that are characters and I always leave the conversation with a big smile on my face. They have great one liners and bring tons of energy to the interview or just in their daily life. The one that comes to mind in this category is Bob Green of Montana Tech. Tech finally realized how funny some of his one liners were and started making t-shirts every week for the football games. I currently own the “Rougher than a stucco bathtub” edition. Also I challenge you to find a coach with more energy.

There are also 90 head coaches that love the game of football and spend every waking hour making sure their program is on the right track. Most of them do it for less than what most DI schools spend on paper for their weekly playbooks.

The point I am trying to make it nothing pains me more when I see coaches bashed on message boards for their personalities or for something within their lives that does not pertain to their performance as a coach. I’ll explain.

I am seeing a lot of people talking about a coach “yelling” too much, or “not communicating” or ” being standoffish”. You know what I say?

So what? The game of college football is about execution and mental toughness. You stay up, positive, do what you’re suppose to, and not turn the ball over and I’ll show you a team that wins football games. I cannot remember ever meeting a coach that never yelled at a player or challenged him so much that the player did not contemplate quitting.

It goes through every college football players mind at some point. Maybe for five seconds …maybe for five days.

I call it the ole “Coach yelled at me, he’s a jerk, I cannot respect him, I should just quit” talk. I have yet to me a college football player that did not have that thought at least once. And if they say they haven’t, they are lying.

The important thing to come from that “talk” is how you respond to your own inner demons and the people that surround you. Hence, the mental toughness.

Let’s face it, the world is a negative place if you allow it to be. Listen to enough people talk, read enough message boards, and watch enough television and you will be convinced that everything is going to heck fast.

The same can be said about a college football team. Listen to enough negative influences, classmates, and alumni and you will be convinced that nothing will ever change. And since nothing will every change, why should you even try?

It’s sad, but that is the state of mind of a lot of people when they get down on themselves. So naturally who is to blame for this state of mind? THE COACHES! Right?

It could not possibly be the fact the coach is trying to challenge a few kids to see if they can handle the heat.

It could not possibly be because the coach wants to see who is mentally tough.

It could NEVER be the fact the player was not giving his all and committing to the team.

Nope, it has to be the coach. Fire him. Fire him now. Who cares about his family. Who cares if his program is the worst funded program in the conference? Who cares if he has only been on the job for six months? Who cares if they lost on fluke plays or last minute hail mary passes? FIRE THEM!!!!

This way you can hire a new guy to be the savior until he starts off 2-4 or 4-3 or 1-6. Then you need to FIRE HIM!

Basically what I am trying to say in this rant is we have to get out of this mentality of comparing what happens in NAIA programs to big time Division I programs. Everyone is playing at this level for one reason or another and everyone is coaching at this level for one reason or another.

You can let this negativity get you down or even play right into its hands. But I would be inclined to ask you to take a new approach. NAIA Hall of Famer Frosty Westering has a great mantra on this which is just simply: “Make it a GREAT DAY!” No one “has” a great day, but you choose to “make it” a great day.

You can let the normal negative parts of life get you down or you can choose to make it a great day.

This level of sports builds strong leaders and go-getters who are willing to do things on their own because they did not have the resources available to them. Look at this site. It was started from the ground up on a small laptop computer that today would be nothing more than a glorified paper weight. No one told me to do it – I just did it. And if I would have quit every time a coach yelled at me for his name being posted on a message board, or some poster posting libelous material about a program we would have never seen month two of NAIAFOOTBALL.NET. Instead of letting it get me down, I choose to make it a great day.

Just this week I have exchanged emails with several coaches and programs that are not happy with the amount of “pub” or “disrespect” that this web site has given them. Relationships have gotten strained and some coaches will not return my calls or do interviews with me.

That is fine. I’ts what they feel is the right thing to do. I could care less if they consider me to be a friend or foe. But one thing I want coaches, players, parents and fans of this site to understand is that I feel like I have the best interest of their program in mind. I absolutely love NAIA football and would never do anything to disrespect it or the hard work that goes into it.

I will not allow people to come onto this web site and bash a coach for his personal stance or for him choosing to remove or keep a player on his team. It is his team, he can do what he wants with it. I will almost always side with the coaches at this level because of what they have to endure day in and day out.

Even if they are the coaches that won’t return my phone calls. J

Take lemons and make lemonade, make it a great day, or whatever. When it’s all said and done we control our destiny. Not some coach who yelled at you. Not some hack on a message board. And definitely not some washed up linebacker-wanna-be-journalist that has chosen to follow NAIA football like it was Moses through the desert.

Here’s to making it a great day, here’s to making to another promised land … also known as “Saturday” in NAIA country.

NAIA Ramblings of Jason Dannelly: Review Preview for 10/14/2006

If I had to go out on a limb this week I’d say the best game of the week on paper is probably Sioux Falls hosting Morningside. But I preface that to say “on paper”. I get a sneaking suspicion that this week’s game might get out of hand. Morningside has struggle on offense and Sioux Falls wants revenge.

 But there is something to be said about wanting revenge too. Sometimes teams over inflate themselves on the importance of a football game and play really tight. If that is the case then I think USF and Morningside could be another great college football game. However if the Cougars show up with their ears pinned back it could be a long day for Morningside and their young quarterback Tim Richard.

The other big game this week is probably in the KCAC. If the KCAC has any shot at all of getting two teams in the playoffs, it will have to come from this week’s winner of Bethel and Friends. Friends only loss this season came to the current top rated KCAC team Kansas Wesleyan (5-0). Bethel is also unbeaten and a win would set up for a battle of undefeated’s on October 28th in North Newton. That is if both teams make it that far without a loss.

I mean no ill towards the Threshers. I think they are a great football team that has vastly improved over the last couple of seasons. But I am like every other college football fan when I see Bethel and wonder how soon before the wheels come off? We’ve seen it before, great starts in September and let downs in October.
It would seem like this team has matured past that and is moving onto a great season. But until Bethel gets out of October, I’m walking on eggshells.

In this week’s NAIA Minute I mention that Black Hills State could take control of the conference title with a win this week. I want people to understand that by no means am I crowning them the DAC conference champion, I just feel they would be the most likely team to do it, if they get a victory this week over Jamestown.

The Black Hills State/Jamestown match up will be featured in next week’s campus report as DAC Columnist Josh Vice will be following this week’s action. In his lead up to the game Josh put together these numbers for us:

Team match-up for Jamestown vs. Black Hills State
BHSU Record 4-2 
JC Record 5-1
BHSU Scoring 99 points
JC Scoring 186
BHSU Total Offense 1321 yards
JC Total Offense 1906 yards
BHSU Yards per play 3.8 – Yards per game 220.20 
JC Yards per play 5.1 – Yards per game 317.70
BHSU Total TD’S 13 
JC Total TD’s 24
BHSU Rushing yards 616 – Rushing YPC 2.8 – Rushing YPG 102.7 
JC Rushing yards 1197 – Rushing YPC 4.8 – Rushing YPG 199.5
BHSU Total Passing Yards 705 – Passing YPG 117.5 
JC Total Passing Yards 709 – Passing YPG 118.2
Those are this week’s biggest games. To get updates on these games as they happen, click on the ESCORES link on the left hand side of this page and sign up to get text messages to your cell phone.
Stat Leaders
Enough of the season has gone by and we can finally look at some of the NAIA stat leaders with validity. Early in the season 1-2 big games can misrepresent how good a team or player really it. Now we are seeing some of the nation’s best step up. Here is a look at the current offensive leaders as next week we’ll examine the defense.

Individual Rushing: As a former running back and guy from Nebraska, I absolutely love to see good running backs pounding the football. There is no question that Ra’Shad Morgan has been the most impressive runner in the NAIA this season. Morgan currently averages 160.7 yards per game and has 16 touchdowns. On top of that he had a season high of 289 yards against Cumberland on September 23rd. That performance led to player of the week honors for this UVA-Wise Cavalier.

Next on the list are Bethel’s (KS) Beau Cox at 147.8 yards per game and Kenton Wills of Haskell Indian Nations at 127.5. This is the first time I can remember in a longtime, if ever, any running back or quarterback from Haskell has been rated in the top five of any category. Congrats to them and Coach Eric Brock.

Last season’s returning NAIA rushing leader Darell Grames of Kansas Wesleyan is 4th on the NAIA list with 623 total yards this season. Grames is having a great season and the diminished rushing yards this season come from the fact the Coyotes have another quality back in DeChad Ward who has rushed for 289 yards this season.  Grames is probably still the NAIA’s best all around back, he just has more help this season.

Individual Passing: UVA-Wise again leads another offensive category with Randy Hippeard leading the NAIA with 1784 total passing yards this season. He averages 297.3 yards per game. Right behind him is Cris Reisert of Ohio Dominican who is currently averaging 263.4 yards per game. But more impressive than Reisert’s passing numbers are his efficiency numbers. On the season he has thrown 12 touchdowns and only one interception while completing 71.7% of his passes. There is no question he is a major reason why ODU got into the Top 25 this week.

Clayton Braddock of Graceland follows at 261.4 ypg and Chad Cavender of Sioux Falls is fourth on the list at 247.7ypg

Individual Receiving: Dusty Hovorka leads the way averaging 100.7 ypg with just 31 receptions on the season. His counterpart from the VSN NAIA Preview cover Andy Ricca is 24th on the NAIA receiving list at 66.7 ypg but is one of the NAIA’s favorite targets with 39 catches over six games. Leading the country in receptions per game is Avila’s Doug Wendell who has hauled in 45 grabs in 6 games.

Phoenix Thompson of Belhaven is second in the country in receiving yards with 99.5 ypg and Jimmy Early of Langston is next on the list at 96.8 ypg. Early also had a season high 187 yards receiving on September 2nd against DII Midwestern State.

Conclusion
Right now is when teams begin defining their seasons. Many fans can look at their team’s current record and figure out whether or not they are going to make the post season. Teams are made now because they start playing for pride and they start playing for improvement over the week before.

I think we’ll see quite a bit of separation this weekend between the top and the bottom of a lot of conferences this week. Now get out there and see some NAIA Football!

NAIA Ramblings of Jason Dannelly from 9/8/2006: The NAIA Review-Preview

have news for you folks. If you’re depressed after a week one loss you need serious help. Every coach says it and every player knows it. But as fans we need to keep this thought in check:

“Fifty percent of the teams in the country lost last Saturday.”

Simple phrase that says a lot. You lost in week one? Who cares?!? There are 10 more weeks of college football. You can still get something done. Teams improve immensely from week one to week two, so don’t get too down on things yet.

Should #24 Evangel fans feel bad? Sure, they lost to Missouri Valley a team they normally find themselves in a shootout with anyway. But that is no reason to pack it in. Texas College went on the road and got spanked, 48-0. There is no nice way of putting it. They got “owned” if you will.

But should Steer fans across the country sulk in the agony of defeat? No way. They still are a talent football team with the capability of winning their conference. Keep in mind that even if they drop three games to start the season, they are still 0-0 in the Central States Football League.

It is scary how much can change from week one. There are still many rivalry games, long bus trips and injuries to happen this season. So try to relax NAIA fan, the sky has not fallen in yet.

The Week in Review
#11 Montana State-Northern defeated #15 Dickinson State in a game that I tried to warn people about all summer. Dickey is going to have a fine season. In fact they are still my favorite to win their conference. But ever since the midway point of last season, people have overlooked the Lights and the fact they are turning things around. Kyle Sampson is one of the top threats at the quarterback position in all of the NAIA. He might not be the accurate thrower or game breaking runner, but he can flat out get the job done.

Now MSU-Northern needs to take care of business this week against Montana-Western before they could truly open people eyes on the September 23rd against Carroll.

The Golden Tornadoes of #21 Geneva lost last week to Thiel (PA). Let’s not start passing judgment on Geno DeMarco’s team just yet. Thiel was 11-1 last season and 7-3 the year before. So even though Geneva needed to get this win to start their season off right the world is not ending quite yet in Beaver Falls.

Rocky Mountain College knocked off Minot State last week. VSN had the Beavers at #33 in the preseason rankings and to be honest I am not surprised to see the Bears get the win. It has nothing to do with the performance of Minot State but rather the improved play at Rocky. I saw RMC play last fall against EOU and you could tell they had a lot of people on the cusp of being very good. All that was needed was a little push. This win might have been it.

#12 U-Cumberlands fan’s welcomed the John Bland era by winning the Brass Lantern over Union (KY), 21-9. It is yet to be seen if Bland can be the coach to get UC to the playoffs but early indications from Williamsburg show this team could have a shot. They are a very different team than last season, which may be the spark to get UC’s fire to ignite.

What’s Happening this Week?
Three key games have sparked by interest this week. Feel free to click on over to “Chip’s Picks” to find out more. #3 Georgetown at #14 Lindenwood has a lot of people talking about the Mid South and HAAC titles already. This game also provides a comparison point for post season play. Even though we are only in week two, people will look back to the winner of this game when they start talking about who should get the #14, #15 and #16 spots in the post season.

LU’s quarterback Ben Kisner sat out last week with an injury. Expect him to be in the lineup this week. Georgetown will follow the leadership of Jeff Smith at quarterback for the third season in a row. The big right hander reminds me more of an NFL tight end with his frame than an NAIA quarterback. Good luck taking him down with an arm tackle.

#8 Saint Xavier travels to the same area of the country as Georgetown to play #5 McKendree in Lebanon, Illinois. If this game gets over 30 points for either team, I’ll be really surprised. McKendree will control the game but SXU has the ability to create big plays with Ricca and Yeo on this offense.

How could anyone forget about #13 Northwestern (IA) and #7 Morningside? This GPAC battle is easily the best match up of the early season. Northwestern is extremely improved over last years team that lost 52-6 and only mustered 216 total yards of offense. In the same respect, Morningside is an extremely different team as the majority of last year’s 518 yards against the Red Raiders has graduated. Add that to a close win over Midland Lutheran, 21-15, last week and this game would appear to be in the hands of the Red Raiders.

But what about some of the other quick hitters from this weekends schedule?

I will be traveling to William Penn to watch the Statesmen take on #2 St. Francis (IN). I would be lying to you if I told you I was going to watch Penn first and then St. Francis. While this will be the first time I have seen William Penn play football since 1998, I still want to see what the #2 team in the country has to offer. However, if the Statesmen get the win my trip will be time well spent.

Tabor and #18 Kansas Wesleyan take to the field this week for the same stakes they were playing for last season at this time; the upper hand in the KCAC race. I do not feel Tabor will be as good this season as they were last season, but they have a chance to prove me wrong this week. However, if KWU gets the win they will have a chance to really take control of the KCAC with a game against Friends next Saturday. There are a lot of things to get sorted out this season in the KCAC but you can count on the winner of this game being in the hunt later in the season.

Other out of area non-conference match ups include: Azusa Pacific at Malone, Peru State at Valley City, Belhaven at Southern Nazarene, Shorter at Webber International and SD Mines at Haskell. All of which have potential to be great games but don’t be surprised if you see one or two blowouts. Azusa Pacific is the better team in Canton this Saturday and Valley City State should handle Peru. The other games are tossups.

Out of the Association

The NAIA has 18 games against IAA, II, and III opponents. The chances of the NAIA winning a majority of these games will be slim to none. Several NAIA teams should come away with victories but with several IAA teams on the slate do not expect much from this bunch of games.

Dakota State (S.D.) at Central Missouri State
Chowan at Union (Ky.)
Cumberland (Tenn.) at Austin Peay State (Texas)
Lambuth (Tenn.) at West Alabama
Mayville State(N.D.) at Minnesota State-Moorhead
Menlo(Calif.) at Southern Oregon
Minot State(N.D.) at Bemidji State (Minn.)
New Mexico Highlands at Northwestern Oklahoma State
Northern State (N.D.) at Dickinson State (N.D.)
Pikeville (Ky.) at Henderson State (Ark.)
Prairie View A&M at Edward Waters (Fla.)
Southwest Minnesota State at Jamestown (N.D.)
Sul Ross State (Texas) at Southwestern Assemblies (Texas)
Tennessee-Martin at Urbana (Ohio)
Texas College at Arkansas Tech
Valparaiso(Ind.) at Trinity International (Ill.)
Waldorf (Iowa) at Martin Luther (Minn.)
Wisconsin-Eau Claire at Black Hills State (S.D.)
Final Shots
Good luck to all schools this week. Fans it is time to get off your duffs and get to the games. Drag your friends and family along if you need to so they can see what great football is being played across the country. If you have a day game see if there is a night game you can make it to. It will all be worth it.

Be sure to listen to our radio updates and check out the message boards to get in on all of the action this week.

NAIA Ramblings of Jason Dannelly from 9/1/2006: Rivals, Upsets and Losses

I will say I was disappointed in the way two teams performed last night. I expected more of a fight from Webber and NWOSU. Both of their opponents were rated in D2Football.com’s Top 25 and I expected the games to be a little closer. I not sure if it is my blind love for NAIA schools, but I thought these games would great games with the NAIA team having a shot at a “W” in the fourth. Both games couldn’t have been further from the truth.

Josh Vice (Dac Columnist) and I talked last night during the games. He was much like I as the opening night for his conference ended in severe disappointment with the DAC teams being outscored 111-13.

Tonight’s schedule for NAIA games doesn’t get much better as Azusa Pacific plays at San Diego. The Torenos used to be one of those IAA teams that APU could go in and get a win over year after year. Not so true now as they Torenos are beating up on a lot of the IAA non-scholarship teams across the country.

This Week in the NAIA
But let’s move toward the positive now as the first full Saturday of college football is here. The game I am looking forward to the most is probably in Spearfish, SD as Carroll College takes on Black Hills State. This is the year everyone in the NAIA has been talking about, the year “without Emmert”.
All reports out of Helena are very positive about junior quarterback John Barnett. He’s big, he’s fast, he’s strong, and he’s a vet on this team. That’s one thing people forget about Mike Van Diest coached teams. A backup QB does not ride the pine with a clipboard in hand; they find ways to get them in the game as running backs, wide receivers, personal protectors, or whatever. Now when Barnett steps in, it’ll be like he’s done it all before.  At least at other positions.

I am anxious to see how the Yellow Jackets come out this season because the last couple years they have been a bit of an enigma. Take last year for example: loss to Dickey by 14 early before beating them by 17 later in the season only to lose to Jamestown by 17 two weeks later. They are a tough bunch to figure out. However a strong performance or win could propel them to heights which this program has never seen.

On the Road Again
I’ll be heading to Chicago for Saint Xavier and Lambuth. Of course my flight gets in at 8AM so I’ll have all day to enjoy some real Chicago style pizza. The game should be just as enjoyable as SXU and Lambuth is a nice match up of teams from two very good conferences. The best thing about it is the fact it will be the first and possibly only night game to be played at SXU. The athletic department is trucking in portable lights for this game as they unveil their new look stadium with a completely renovated surface.

SXU will break in new QB while Lambuth will be without their first stringer due to a one game suspension. Needless to say the upper hand should go to SXU but never count out a Vic Wallace team especially with Kevin Haynes back as a running back. Haynes had a very severe injury last season to his ankle/foot and missed the entire season making it a tough go for the Eagles in ‘05.

How ‘bout someone other than a rival
I cannot believe the number of rivalries that are on schedule to start the ‘06 season. Benedictine and Baker, Mid America Nazarene and William Jewell, Union KY and U-Cumberlands, Eastern Oregon and Southern Oregon, Taylor and Anderson, St. Ambrose and Loras, plus Howard Payne plays at Southern Nazarene. Now HPU and SNU is not a true rivalry in the sense that most schools recognize them but former co-workers Mike Cochran and Mike Redwine will lock up after coaching together for years at MidAmerica Nazarene.

These games are the toughest to gauge all season because they are season openers and they are rivalries. So any and all research can be thrown out the window. SAU and Loras are huge rivals despite taking over twenty years off from playing one another. EOU and SOU have new coaches and new systems in place for their season openers while MNU’s Jed Stugart will coach his first game as a head coach against the veteran Fran Schwenk.

I wish I could make it to all of them, but unfortunately I cannot. Hopefully by Wednesday I can be breaking down film on all of them.

What to watch for
The biggest thing to watch for this week will be the upsets. Right now we all think we know who the good teams are, but we will have no idea who is actually good until the end of the month.
Also keep any eye out for one of those “bad” teams to have a good season.  It happens about every year.  Someone goes from 0-10 or 2-8 to 5-5 or 7-3.  They might not be winning the conference but they are accomplishing something their programs and schools have really missed:  Winnings.

 

Sit back, relax and enjoy some college football!

NAIA Ramblings of Jason Dannelly from 8/27/2006: Wheat Bowl in the Book

The only thing that was a bit unpredicted on the night were the condor like beasts flying through the air making supper of the few thousand fans in attendance. Well, we called then mini condors while others know them as central Kansas mosquitoes.

On the football side of things I will hit on Lindenwood first. The Lions defense played well on Saturday, just not well enough to win. When they needed to stop a drive they did and when they needed a big play or turnover they got it. The problem was LU gave NWOSU too good of field position on a few offensive turnovers.

So Lindenwood fan, let’s not start the rumblings of major changes needed for this team to win. A few bang-ups to key LU guys really limited what they Lions were to do in the second half. QB Ben Kisner played off and on in the second half with a thigh bruise while RB Abdullah was also injured.

Would a healthy presence from those two changed the game? Maybe. But that in itself should provide plenty of optimism for the Lions this year.

The Rangers? Let me give you the abbreviated version of the night. Black Cloud, Thez Robinson, Black Cloud, Miguel Warren, Black Cloud, Thez Robinson, Black Cloud, Sedgwyn Thigpen … I think that about covers it.  Thex Robinson looked the part of a true Ranger runningback tonight.  Keep an eye on him.

To the lay person the “Black Cloud” is the nickname for the Rangers defense, which was out in full force. LU finished with 14 yards rushing on 22 carries. In total the Rangers only gave up 265 yards and one touchdown which in many ways was a stroke of luck. Give credit to LU’s WR Wilson who continued running his route despite a pass being tipped. Because of his effort the ball bounced away from defender and directly into his stride as he broke away from the Ranger D.

There is a certain feeling everyone gets when they go to a football game. Sometimes it is in your gut, sometimes you cannot explain where it is. That is why I am always going to football games as early as possible to be able to gauge where each team is at. I think you can tell a lot about a team it you just shut up, listen, and feel what is happening around you.

When NWOSU hit the field tonight, I got that same feeling about them that I got when I saw them destroy Tabor in the NAIA Playoffs back in ‘03. My gut turned and my arm hair was standing on end. It is hard to explain and the easiest thing I can say to help you understand is this; they just had “it”. I do not know what “it” is, but they had “it”.

After a 4-6 season in ‘05 the question that many people are wondering right now is “Are the Rangers back?” I’ll revert to my opening statement for the night on NWOSU. They are very good on defense, they have a running back that has opened my eyes, and their defense looks like a typical Ranger defense.

Are they back?

Let’s take it one game at a time for now.

Should teams be scared?

Uh … . yeah.

See ya next week in Chicago for Saint Xavier and Lambuth.

ZimTown: Pearl Jam is the most overrated thing ever

mattyzimmer:

A new Pearl Jam album apparently came out yesterday, which meant it was a big day if you’re a boring white guy between the ages of 30 and 40.
I’m not trying to be a troll here, because when it comes to rock bands/musicians that annoy me, PJ is pretty far down the list. I don’t really have any…

ZimTown: Pearl Jam is the most overrated thing ever

NAIA Ramblings of Jason Dannelly from 8/25/2006: The Start of the Season . . . . FINALLY!

For ten years I have conducted interviews and covered sports in some way shape or form. Working with this level of athletics has been the purest experience of my life in that regard. Because of that, you the fan, reap in all the benefits. The information we put out is unfiltered and straight from the source.

So let’s get this season fired up! I knew I had the football bug. But it bit me pretty hard yesterday as I started covering the Hastings College preseason camp for my “Two-A-Day Tour” series. Even though the first report will not be filed until Wednesday I got a chance to see the new crop of freshmen go through conditioning tests and equipment checkout.

The scene brings back memories for anyone who played college football or worked around it. Wide-eyed freshmen trying to figure out which way is up while others rush past them. The “cocky” freshmen who seem to think they have things figured out already and the freshmen who are just trying to blend in to start.

The first day freshmen are at practice is also comical because of the attire you see most of them wearing. “State Playoff T-Shirts” to prove what high school they went to and other memorabilia are a must for day one. It’s usually that or a brand-new-never-been washed college shirt that the “newbies” get on day one.

I do not envy any of them. New place, new friends, and a new life plus they all want to compete for a starting job or playing time without even knowing what they are up against. Everyone is full of hope and dreams which surrounds the situation with an energy like no other place in the world. Businesses don’t bring in 45 new employees and get everyone excited about being there with just the sound of a whistle. You cannot start a family of 45 people one day and get them all encouraging one another two hours later. The only place for this type of energy and this type of feeling is on an NAIA Football field.

AHHHHHHHHH!!!!! It is football season … . . and I’m more than ready for it.

NAIA Ramblings of Jason Dannelly from 11/7/2005: Playoff Picture Taking Form

So who is in?  Right now my crystal ball tells me, Carroll, St. Francis, Morningside, and  Sioux Falls are definately in the playoffs.  Georgetown, Tabor, and St. Xavier are highly likely to make it into the Championship Series as long as they do not fall off the face of the earth this week and lose big to their final opponents.  Georgetown has the toughest game with Cumberlands, but their #5 ranking will keep them from falling out of contention with a loss to the Pats.
I would also say that Azusa Pacific is also a team that is highly likely to make it to the post season as well as Dickinson State.  APU does have a very tough game on the road at Valley City, which they could lose.  But I do not feel the NAIA Coaches will punish APU for a road loss in North Dakota by dropping them out of the Top 20 and killing their post season hopes.  VCSU is a quality opponent and a loss will not hurt APU badly enough to keep them from the post season.  Dickinson State has the conference tie breaker and does not play this week.  Seemingly they should not drop.

 

There are a lot of teams on the bubble right now and their final regular season games will either get them in the post season or hold them out.  McKendree, MidAmerica Nazarene, Walsh, Cumberlands, Evangel, Pikeville, Montana Tech, Graceland, St. Ambrose, Valley City, Geneva, Webber International and Bethel TN are sitting on the fence.  So without further delay, here’s a breakdown of what I think will happen with the post season in the final game of the year.
Who has a 100% chance they are in:
Carroll, St. Francis, Morningside, Sioux Falls

 

This Week’s Game Analysis
The remaining games are up for grabs.  Many will argue that some of these teams are in for sure, but in the last four seasons the final week of the season has been very interesting.  Here’s a rundown of the remaining contenders.
#5 Georgetown @ #12 U Cumberlands:  Georgetown can lose a close game and still make it to the post season.  However if they get blown out, raters will send them packing with three losses. The more interesting story is how far Cumberlands would drop with a loss.  If GT is the #5 team in the country one would like the Patriots would not drop much.   Cumberlands needs a great performance to make it to the post season.  They will be one of two teams waiting on the bubble Likely Outcome:  GT is in, Cumberlands has about a 50% chance.

 

#6 Tabor vs. Saint Mary:  Same deal as GT.  Tabor could lose and make the playoffs, but they cannot afford to get blown out.  Likely Outcome: Tabor is in.
#7  Saint Xavier vs. Saint Francis IL:  Repeat as previous two.  SXU is likely to be in the post season even with a loss to St. Fran.  Likely Outcome: SXU is in.

 

#8  McKendree @ Trinity International:  A big loss could eliminate McKendree, but it doesn’t look to be likely.  TIU is not the TIU of the past two seasons and the Bearcats will control this game.  Likely Outcome:  McKendree is in
#9 MidAmerica Nazarene @ #16 Graceland:  MNU is probably the final team in the Top 25 that could lose this week and make the post season.  GU is on the door step and must win to get in.  If GU wins they are in, if not they are held out for one more season.  Likely Outcome:  MNU in, GU sent packing.

 

#10 Azusa Pacific @ #18 Valley City State:  An upset in this game by VCSU would totally screw up the entire playoff picture.  The Vikings would likely vault up several spots in the poll to get an at-large berth while APU would hold on to their Independent berth.  A HUGE loss by APU could drop them out of the top 20 and open the door for #22 Webber International.  Likely Outcome: APU wins, VCSU and Webber left looking in.
#11 Walsh vs #2 St. Francis IND:  USF is in regardless of the outcome.  However a win by Walsh would keep the Cavs in the mix for post season play.  Unfortunately USF will not lose this game and Walsh will be like Cumberlands, on the bubble waiting for the selections.  Likely Outcome:  Walsh has a 50% chance.

 

#13 Evangel vs Central Methodist:  A loss will keep Evangel from the post season.  CMU has the ability to knock off the Crusaders, but I do not see it happening this week.  Likely Outcome: Evangel is in.
#14  Pikeville vs. Shorter:  A loss will kill Pikeville, a close win might not help much either.  They have about a 90% chance of making the post season as long as APU does not lose to Valley City State.  Based on my knowledge of that game, the odds will be in Pikevilles favor.  Likely Outcome: Pikeville is in.

 

#15 Montana Tech @ Montana Northern:  Tech must win or they are done.  Northern will give them everything they have to keep them from the post season, but the return of Aaron Johnson might be enough to get the Orediggers past the Lights.  However, APU must beat VCSU to guarantee a bid.  Likely Outcome: Tech has a 70% chance to make it to the post season.
#17 St. Ambrose vs Olivet Nazarene:  SAU needs a big win to impress voters to move them past the possible losses by Cumberlands and Walsh.  If this game is close, SAU is probably done.  Likely Outcome: SAU has a 30% chance at making it.

 

#19 Dickinson State BYE:  Likely Outcome: As long as something screwy does not take place Dicky is in with a #20 rating or higher.
#20 Geneva vs Urbana:  Geneva has less than a 20% chance of making the post season even with a win against Urbana.  They would essentially have to vault to #15 in the ratings and hope that SAU, Walsh, Cumberlands, Evangel, and Graceland all lose.  It is possible, but not likely.  Likely Outcome: Geneva to the NCCAA’s Victory Bowl?

 

#24 Bethel @ Cambellsville:  Bethel has a shot to make the playoffs.  They first need to win.  VCSU needs to lose, Graceland must lose, Geneva must lose, a loss by Webber would help as well as SAU.  It could happen, but it will be the toughest shot of everyone in contention. Bethel has to pray for some blowouts  Likely Outcome: Bethel wins, and waits to find out.
Jason’s Coaches Poll Final Top 25 Prediction
#1 Carroll
#2 St. Francis
#3 Morningside
#4 Sioux Falls
#5 Georgetown
#6 Tabor
#7 St. Xavier
#8 McKendree
#9 MidAmerica Nazarene
#10 Azusa Pacific
#11 Evangel
#12 Pikeville
#13 Montana Tech
#14 Walsh
#15 Cumberlands
#16 St. Ambrose (left out)
#17 Dickinson State (automatic conference champion)
#18 Geneva
#19 Graceland
#20 Northwestern IA
#21 Valley City State
#22 Bethel TN
#23 Kansas Wesleyan
#24 Webber International
#25 Black Hills State

 

First Round Matchups Predictions
#17 Dickinson State @ #1 Carroll:  The Dickinson State will bus to Helena as the defending champs will bid for homefield all through the playoffs.
#15 Cumberlands @ #2 St. Francis:  Another bus trip which the NAIA will like to see because of the costs of Chartered Planes.  USF will bid for homefield and get it as well.

 

#9 MidAmerica Nazarene @ #3 Morningside:  Morningside will not travel this season unless they are forced to.  Crowds at Elwood Olsen Stadium have been great revenue makers for the football team.
#8 McKendree @ #4 Sioux Falls:  Relatively good travel costs will put McKendree in a bus to USF.  The Coo will play at Howard Wood field and also bring in a lot of revenue.

 

#14 Walsh @ #5 Georgetown:  If Walsh makes it, they will be on the road unfortunately.  It would be great to see the Cavs get a home game at the Hall of Fame, but it doesn’t look likely.
#6 Tabor @ #11 Evangel:  Easy bus ride on the road for Tabor.  The Jays are trying for a homegame, but Evangel’s home stadium presents a lot better revenue stream to help for travel costs.  Plus, I do not think the NAIA is crazy about playing a post season game away from Tabors campus.

 

#12 Pikeville @ #7 St. Xavier:  Nice matchup between the Mid South and MSFA.  With this trip being about 550 miles, Pikeville will be on a bus to Chicago.
#13 Montana Tech @ #10 Azusa Pacific:  The only plane ride in the country for the first round of the playoffs.  If the NAIA can save money by doing this, they certainly will try this way all the other schools can be reimbursed for post season play.

 

Conclusion
There is no real science to any of this.  Most of it is educated guesses base on previous years outcomes, matchups, and ratings.  Trust me, I will be proven wrong because at this point in time I am like the 40,000 people who visit this web site each week:  I am just a fan.
Take care everyone and lets not try to kill each other this week!

Ramblings of Jason Dannelly from 10/30/2005: The NAIA Championship Series Picture

The most overlooked part of that equation is the fact you must be rated 20th or higher in the final poll.  Right now there are two conferences struggling to keep their automatic bid: The Mid South West and the Dakota Athletic conference.  Because of early losses in the season to other conferences and a few upsets within their own leagues, these two conferences are on the verge of not making the NAIA Playoffs.  

Here is the current break down in the NAIA by conference:
Mid South Conference West Division:  Georgetown and the University of the Cumberlands look like they have done all they need to get into the playoffs before their matchup on November 12.  Barring no upsets on the 5th, these two teams are in.  (UC plays Union, Georgetown plays Shorter).  Pikeville will have to finish the season strong to gain an at-large berth. IN: GT and UC DARKHORSE: Pikeville

 

Mid South Conference East Division: The only team with a hope and a prayer is Bethel TN.  The Wildcats are now 5-4 and lead the West Division.  They end with Cumberland TN and Campbellsville which could put them at 7-4 to finish the season. Close losses to the University of the Cumberlands (KY), Geneva, and Georgetown might be enough to sway voters to get this team in th Top 20. DARKHORSE: Bethel TN
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference:  Tabor is in.  They have been the best team in the KCAC for two seasons and it does not look like they are letting up.  Kansas Wesleyan has an outside shot.  If they take care of business they might have a chance of moving up high enough to take an at large bid. However it would appear they need help from teams above them to lose if they are to gain enough ground.  IN: Tabor DARKHORSE: Kansas Wesleyan

 

Mid States Football Association Mideast: St. Francis is rolling and I do not see anyone beating them.  With that said, it all will come down to Walsh and if they can win this weekend over Urbana.  The Blue Knights loss to Quincy has all but finished their playoff chances, and now Walsh must prove they are worthy of moving up in the ratings.  However, you have to beleive they will probably lose the final week of the season to USF, dropping them out of the possibility of an at-large because the Cougars will win the Mideast.  IN: St. Francis Ind DARKHORSE: Walsh
Mid States Football Association Midwest: This is probably the most exciting race in the country for their conference championship.  Saint Xavier, Saint Ambrose, and McKendree all stand at the top of the MSFA and the NAIA ratings.  However, Ambrose plays McKendree on the 5th in a game which might hurt the Bearcats chances at the postseason.  A win and McKendree is in and the loss would probably keep Amborse high enough to get to the post season, as long as they do not faulter against Olivet Nazarene in the final week.  SXU has the clearest road ahead with Iowa Wesleyan and St. Francis IL ahead of them.  Worst case for the conference, 2/3 make it to the post season.  Best case, 3/3.  IN: Saint Xavier PROBABLE: McKendree, Saint Ambrose DARKHORSE: None

 

Central States Football League: Sorry Ranger fans, your run is over.  A loss at Upper Iowa has ended your already slim shot at the post season.  The remaining hope of post season goes to an improving Southern Nazarene team, who knocked off a very good Langston team on 10/29.  Currently 5-3 (3-1 CSFL) the Crimson Storm have a chance to win out and finish 7-3.  However, they need some love from the raters to get them into the Top 20.  The conference is not the culprit of the SNU season right now, instead it is an early season loss to Graceland who is currently 7-2 with two very tough games left.  Southern Naz needs the Yellow Jackets to at least split their remaining games in order for people NOT to keep them down because of the Wheat Bowl loss.  DARKHORSE: Southern Nazarene
Heart of America Athletic Conference:  MidAmerica Nazarene was in the drivers seat until they lost this weekend to Lindenwood.  Now the Pioneers and Graceland could possibly beat one another out of the post season.  Graceland and MidAmerica Nazarene meet the final week of the season in a game that could bounce one of the two schools from the post season.  Evangel is looking pretty stable with two weeks remaining and only one game against Central Methodist. POSSIBLE: Evangel  DARKHORSE: Graceland, MidAmerica Nazarene

 

Dakota Athletic Conference:  Valley City State, Dickinson State, and Black Hills State are really making things interesting.  Valley has the toughest road in front of them with Dakota State and Azusa Pacific.  DSU is probably a win, but Azusa Pacific is the kicker.  A loss by VCSU could knock them out of the final Top 20 and not give them the “automatic berth”.  Dickinson State will more than likely win their final game over Mayville State while Black Hills State finishes against a tough Minot State team.  Valley could finish with 8 wins while the others will finish with 7.  In the end, Black Hills State has too much ground to make up with only one game on the schedule.  At this point I would say they are out, but stranger things have happened.  Dickinson State should be IN with a VCSU loss to APU.  If VCSU wins out they will be the lone DAC representitive in the NAIA Championship Series.
Frontier Conference:  Carroll is in.  Montana Tech must win against Northern on the 12th.  A win over Carroll on the 5th would help a lot, but it is not going to happen.  IN Carroll DARKHORSE: Montana Tech

 

Great Plains Athletic Conference: Morningside and Sioux Falls are in.  They do have to win their final games, but even with a minot set back, they will not fall far enough to be left out of the mix.  Northwestern has REALLY come on strong, but it might be too little too late as the Red Raiders early loss to Doane has really hurt their chances as well as a 52-6 loss to Morningside.  I will not rule them out yet, but the fat lady is warming up.  IN Sioux Falls, Morningside DARKHORSE: Northwestern
Independent: Webber International is out of the picture due to their loss to Walsh.  Eastern Oregon had a shot, but a 40-0 loss to Azusa Pacific has all but done in the season for the Mountaineers.  So that leaves: Azusa Pacific.  APU has one game remaining on the road in North Dakota against Valley City State.  APU will be the highest rated Independent and will only need to stay rated in the Top 20 to gain access to the post season.  A loss on the road in North Dakota could put that in question, but it would appear the Cougars should be able to stay high enough in the ratings even with the loss.  PROBABLE: Azusa Pacific

 

So for the record, Georgetown, U-Cumberlands, Carroll, St. Francis, Sioux Falls, Morningside, Saint Xavier, Tabor should all be in the championship series.  That presents eight spots in the championship series still open.  Our probable list includes Azusa Pacific, Saint Ambrose, McKendree, and Evangel.  Which brings our current list to 12 teams we feel have a VERY strong chance at making the playoffs and there are plenty of darkhorses to fill the final four spots.
We will know a lot more after this weekends game, but needless to say the end of the NAIA Football season will not disappoint any fans of small college football.